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EMEA Midpoint EMEA Midpoint

Midpoint 2025 | European Economic & CRE Outlook

From Caution to Strategic Conviction

As we reach the midpoint of 2025, the commercial real estate landscape continues to evolve in response to shifting economic forces, dynamic investor preferences and changing occupier demands. Our Midpoint report provides analysis into these developments—examining what has changed, emerging trends, and what it means for the remainder of this year and beyond.

Key Takeaways

Economy

Near-term growth outlook downgraded as weakening forward indicators point to softer momentum through the second half of 2025. With inflation largely in check, central banks will have room to support growth through rate cuts, while a shift toward expansionary fiscal policy paves the way for recovery in 2026.

Capital Markets

Market volatility and bond yield fluctuations are impacting pricing and investor strategy. Still, historical resilience during periods of market dislocation suggest potential for recovery and outperformance as conditions improve into 2026.

Industrial

Industrial take-up is stabilising near pre-pandemic levels. Easing monetary policy, stabilising demand, and tight supply are expected to support recovery into 2026.

Office

Office leasing activity has slowed though demand remains focused on high-quality space in core CBDs. Occupiers are expanding cautiously. As confidence improves and supply tightens beyond 2025, activity and rental resilience are expected to strengthen into 2026.

Retail

Retail remains resilient despite tariff-related planning challenges. Momentum is expected to continue into 2025, supported by improving sentiment, investor interest, and stabilising economic conditions.

Living

Persistent supply-demand imbalances across European housing markets are supporting a strong rental growth outlook and offering institutional investors a resilient, medium-term income opportunity.

Hotels

European hotel activity is becoming more geographically diverse. With a strong deal pipeline and improved financing conditions, volumes are expected to rise in H2 2025, driven by growing interest in both value- add and core assets.

 

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As the market recalibrates, stay informed on pivotal movements—from valuation trends to investment hotspots. Anticipate changes in property values and prepare for the market rebound. Our reports provide a strategic vantage point, revealing how to harness yield expansion and navigate rate adjustments.

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